LandWatch State of Monterey County Report 1998 3.2 Population and Population Forecasts The county's population has increased 33% since 1980 (Table 3) and is projected by the Association of Monterey Bay Area Governments (AMBAG) to grow another 39% by 2020 to a population over 536,000. Buildout of city and County general plans would allow for an increase of 55%, or about 600,000 people. AMBAG's population forecasts show that 83% of the growth will be in cities. The general plans, which typically do not have a time frame for "buildout" (the condition expected to occur when general plans are fully realized and reach their planned maximum population), show that 75% of the growth will be in cities. Depending on whether AMBAG's forecast or the general plans' estimation is accurate, we can expect approximately 17 to 25% of the growth to occur in the County rather than in existing cities where services are available and can be provided most efficiently. Table 3--Population Growth, 1980-1998 Jurisdiction 1980(1) 1998(2) Percent Increase Cities 205,400 283,600 38% Unincorporated 85,044 102,600 21% Total 290,444 386,200 33% Table 4--Population Forecasts, 1998-2020 and 1998 to Buildout Jurisdiction 1998 2020(3) Percent Increase Buildout(4) Percent Increase Cities 283,600 408,949 44% 443,664 56% Unincorporated 102,600 127,660 24% 155,100 51% Total 386,200 536,609 39% 598,764 55% 1998 Table of Contents: 1.0 Executive Summary 1.1 Findings 1.2 Recommendations 1.3 Areas of Future Study 2.0 Summary of Indicators 3.0 State of Monterey County 1998 3.1 Introduction 3.2 Population and Population Forecasts 3.3 Development&emdash;Approved and Pending Projects 3.4 Roads and Highways 3.5 Water Supply 3.6 Water Quality 3.7 Wastewater Treatment 3.8 Air Quality 3.9 Agricultural Land 3.10 Nonagricultural Land&emdash;Open Space 3.11 Affordable Housing 3.12 Schools 3.13 Economy 3.14 Rare, Threatened, and Endangered Species 3.15 General Plans 4.0 References
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